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A quebra na safra do café, causada pela seca e a geada recentes, deve deixar o produto de 35% a 40% mais caro nos supermercados até o fim de setembro. O aumento é o maior registrado há pelo menos 25 anos no país, segundo a Abic (Associação Brasileira da Indústria de Café).
O diretor-executivo da entidade, Celírio Inácio da Silva, descarta o risco de desabastecimento, mas diz que o preço reado ao consumidor pode subir ainda mais nos próximos meses.
Segundo ele, de janeiro a julho, o café cru, que é transformado pela indústria em produto torrado ou moído, teve alta de 80%. Outros insumos, como embalagens e energia, também ficaram mais caros, fazendo o preço do produto final subir 11% no período.
A principal incógnita é o clima, que agora causa insegurança porque ainda não se sabe qual foi o impacto da geada do último mês, diz Silva. Além disso, houve aumento das exportações, somado à produção menor já esperada para 2021 devido ao ciclo das cafeeiras.
“Há muitos anos nós não ávamos por essa dificuldade. São muitos fatores, ao mesmo tempo, que estão contribuindo para esse aumento incomum”, diz.
A safra de 2022 ainda depende da chuva na hora da florada das plantas, que deve acontecer daqui a 60 dias. “Se houver a florada no café, o mercado acaba se acalmando um pouco. Mas isso depende de uma chuva, e estamos em um período de seca”, diz Silva.
